19 November 2007

Taking Bets for a Psychic-Predicted Earthquake?

I'm sure that BigHeathenMike will love the stupidity in this article:
JAKARTA (AFP) - Local officials in a quake-prone Indonesian province said Monday they were taking precautionary measures after a Brazilian psychic warned a powerful earthquake would strike next month.
According to the article, officials in the province of Bengkulu on the island of Sumatra are taking psychic Jucelino Nobrega da Luz's claim of a magnitude 8.5 earthquake on December 23, 2007 very seriously, including setting up evacuation shelters and doing drills.

As one commenter stated, "Psychics" predicting earthquakes in Southeast Asia is like a "psychic" predicting snow in Canada in the winter. Along those lines, I'd hope that Bengkulu officials would have good earthquake procedures and practice them regardless of any warnings from Brazilian woo-woos. My worry is that the officials are setting themselves up for a "cry wolf" scenario in the future if (when) the earthquake doesn't happen.

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9 Comments:

At November 19, 2007 11:01 p.m., Blogger Heathen Mike said...

Oh yeah, I had to comment on that. Thanks for the inspiration :)

 
At November 20, 2007 1:33 p.m., Blogger TheBrummell said...

What do you think the Brazilian woo will say when the earthquake doesn't happen on the 23rd, and / or isn't mag. 8.5?

Sunspots? Bad vibes from disbelievers? Or perhaps if there is no earthquake in December, the Brazilian will claim some active role in preventing it.

 
At November 20, 2007 9:40 p.m., Blogger langmann said...

They should do like they used to do in ancient Babylonia.

Psychics who make predictions and are wrong shall have their heads seized from their bodies and placed upon the southeast gate.

 
At November 21, 2007 8:14 a.m., Blogger King Aardvark said...

Hmm, I like Langmann's solution.

 
At November 21, 2007 2:40 p.m., Blogger Necator said...

Respectfully, it was a Babylonian solution...

 
At November 23, 2007 1:17 p.m., Blogger Carlo said...

This is AWESOME, but only if we start combining all of the great psychic disciplines into one Uber prediction. So, using Sylvia Browne's candles-based evidence along with that crazy Australian 'The Secret' author, we can conclude that the Earthquake will only happen IF the world truly wants it to happen and we'll only get an accurate reading if we're surrounded by candles in expensive bathtubs!

OMG, what if the world's mantle contains enough light metals to create an efficient global tin-foil hat!?!?!?! WE'RE DOOMED!!!!

 
At November 24, 2007 11:33 a.m., Blogger TheBrummell said...

From Wikipedia: Global production of aluminium in 2005 was 31.9 million tonnes

I'm guessing that's enough to make a rather deluxe "tinfoil" hat for every living human on the planet. I don't know if that's enough to make a single uber-hat for the whole planet.

That's production from the Earth's crust, as far as I know nobody is mining the mantle, yet.

 
At November 29, 2007 3:23 p.m., Blogger Necator said...

Perhaps to be eco-friendly, we can recycle all our drinks cans into some uber-metal hat for Terra?

 
At November 29, 2007 3:24 p.m., Blogger Necator said...

Ooh ooh! And a matching metal brassiere!

 

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